• Nigel Stanley Nigel Stanley

    The Institute for Fiscal Studies published their Green Budget last week in which they look at the Chancellor’s options in the forthcoming budget. It is not exactly a bundle of laughs.

    But they do have an extremely useful round up of trends in public sector pay. Richard has already drawn attention to their statement:

    Overall, pay levels in the public sector are probably not significantly out of line with those of similar workers in the private sector, once you take into account factors such as their age, education and qualifications.”

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  • Politics

    Crunch day for AV referendum vote

    9th February 2010 — Filed under: Politics

    Nigel Stanley Nigel Stanley

    MPs will be voting later today on whether there should be a referendum on changing our current first-past-the-post electoral system to one based on AV.

    This is not an area where there is any TUC policy – other than the motion at our Congress last year calling for us to stimulate a debate. This we have tried to kick off by publishing the Touchstone extra on electoral reform.

    But in this spirit, here are some thoughts on what AV might mean.

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  • Alastair Hatchett Alastair Hatchett

    The detail of what has been happening to pay and the outlook for the coming year will be discussed in detail at the IDS/TUC pay conference on 16 February.

    It is a strange logic that concludes that a financial crisis that started in the top echelons of banking should be resolved by freezing the pay of nurses, teachers and social workers. Yet since early last year a growing clamour of voices, led by much of the press and then followed by many shades of politicians, have called for public sector pay freezes to resolve financial instability caused by the economic crisis. As part of this process there has been a widespread misreading of the official earnings statistics to try to show that all public sector workers earn more than all private sector workers.

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  • Web links

    Web links for 8th February 2010

    8th February 2010 — Filed under: Web links

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  • Environment

    Carbon Diary: Observastories

    8th February 2010 — Filed under: Environment

    Philip Pearson Philip Pearson

    Pledges from developed nations signing the Copenhagen Accord add up to a mere 19% cut in CO2 below 1990 levels. This is well short of the range of CO2 emission reductions – 25 to 40% – that the UN says is necessary to stabilise global temperature increases. Still, apparently there’s no need to be ”irrationally alarmist”, as Benny Peisner puts it. The blogmeister at Lord Lawson’s Global Warming Policy Foundation keeps sending me bulletins on how bad the science is.

    As Peisner said in his heated exchange with Observer science editor Robin McKie yesterday: “In all likelihood, we will not know for the next 20 or 30 years who is right or wrong on the scale and impact of global warming…the debate has become irrationally alarmist.” To me, the phrase “in all likelihood” means “I am virtually 100% certain”. What, we’d like to know, is this based on, actually? 

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  • Adam Lent Adam Lent

    Back when cuts mania was all the rage during the conference season of 2009, only the TUC, others on the left and serious commentators like Martin Wolf argued that cuts came with major economic consequences.  The TUC argued particularly strongly that to start measures to address the deficit when the economy was still fragile threatened a double dip recession.  These views were of course rejected by the small state right in the form of the Institute of Directors, the Taxpayers Alliance and the Conservative Party itself.

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  • Labour market

    What’s happening to pay?

    4th February 2010 — Filed under: Labour market

    Richard Exell Richard Exell
    Last year’s pay reality was never as simple as some newspaper stories suggested. This year union pay negotiators will face the possibility of the return of inflation and rising unemployment, and a conflict with the Government over public sector pay. The TUC and IDS are organising a conference on Pay Bargaining in 2010 on 16 Feb to help unions steer their way through these challenges.

    Last year, the newspapers were full of stories about pay freezes and cuts; the employers’ organisations picked this up, of course, and tried to persuade us that this was happening to everyone. Or, that if you were a public sector worker, it should be. The reality has not been this simple.

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  • Web links

    Web links for 3rd February 2010

    3rd February 2010 — Filed under: Web links

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  • Philip Pearson Philip Pearson

    When Ofgem talks about power companies “sweating assets” you know something is up. So may I welcome Ofgem to the TUC’s energy podium, for a long-overdue meeting of minds?

    Ofgem, February 2010: “The unprecedented combination of the global financial crisis, tough environmental targets, increasing gas import dependency and the closure of ageing power stations has combined to cast reasonable doubt over whether the current energy arrangements will deliver secure and sustainable energy supplies” (Project Discovery, 2010).

    TUC, October 2006: “Faced with the new energy challenges of climate change and energy security, the UK’s liberalised energy market lacks the foundations on which to deliver the massive new investment required in low carbon and carbon-free energies” (TUC Executive Committee paper).

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  • Richard Exell Richard Exell

    One of the Opposition’s key job creation policies is a National Insurance ‘holiday’ for new businesses; they claim that it would create tens of thousands of jobs. But we’ve been here before, last time there was a Conservative government, and it only managed to create just over 2,000 jobs.

    At last year’s Conservative conference George Osborne announced that any new business started in the first two years of a Conservative Government would not have to pay employer’s National Insurance Contributions on the first ten employees it hired during its first year. Predicting that it would create 60,000 jobs over two years, he boasted, “This is just another example of the Conservatives being the party of jobs at a time when Labour are the party of mass unemployment.”

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