The Office for Budget Responsibility’s supplementary budget document, and its pre-Budget forecast, show how unemployment has been revised upwards as a result of today’s announcements.
Claimant unemployment will rise 100,000 more than was previously forecast, and the ILO unemployment rate will be 0.2 percentage points higher than the pre-budget forecast predicted.
The full table is below:
| 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | |
| Claimant count pre-budget (millions) | 1.50 | 1.40 | 1.30 | 1.20 |
| Claimant count post-budget (millions) | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.40 | 1.30 |
| Difference | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| ILO pre-budget (rate) | 8.10 | 7.90 | 7.40 | 6.80 |
| ILO post-budget (rate) | 8.10 | 8.00 | 7.60 | 7.00 |
| Difference | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| Employment pre-budget (millions) | 28.80 | 29.00 | 29.30 | 29.60 |
| Employment post-budget (millions) | 28.80 | 28.90 | 29.20 | 29.50 |
| Difference | 0.00 | -0.10 | -0.10 | -0.10 |


Comment made by john rogers on Jun 22nd 2010 at 8:28 pm:
thanks for all the info, its a great blog, will circulate
Trackback made by Tweets that mention Budget 2010: Unemployment | ToUChstone blog: A public policy blog from the TUC -- Topsy.com on Jun 22nd 2010 at 10:55 pm:
[...] This post was mentioned on Twitter by ToUChstone blog and Wayne Strnad, K Knight. K Knight said: Budget 2010: Unemployment | ToUChstone blog: A public policy blog …: The Office for Budget Responsibility's supp… http://bit.ly/btxH6g [...]
Trackback made by Budget claims on child poverty do not stack up | ToUChstone blog: A public policy blog from the TUC on Jun 25th 2010 at 4:16 pm:
[...] of people in and out of work. Given the OBR has predicted claimant unemployment rising by around 100,000 – and that forecasts of public sector job losses are far higher – it seems highly [...]
Trackback made by A bad Budget for jobs and for jobseekers | Left Foot Forward on Jun 28th 2010 at 10:52 am:
[...] during 2011 – 2014 than was the case in their pre-budget analysis. Their forecasts also show ILO unemployment rising above previously forecast rates. As the OBR’s analysis does not take account of [...]