From the TUC

What do the public think about the recovery?

20 Nov 2013, by in Politics

There’s a fascinating recent poll commissioned by Shelter from Populous. It was reported mainly for its finding that rising house prices are not as universally popular as some assume. But its findings on recovery are even more interesting.

Populus asked:

Thinking about the next General Election in 2015, what do you think will be the most important issue in determining which party’s candidate you are likely to vote for?

The table below sets out the top three single most important issues:

All

Men

Women

Con

Lab

LD

UKIP

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Cost of living

24

23

25

16

32

24

12

The economy

20

25

15

34

17

26

  7

Immigration

14

13

15

20

10

10

40

 

The “cost of living”  beats both “the economy” and “immigration”, particularly for women. Only among UKIP voters do economic considerations get swamped by concerns about immigration.

 Populus then asked:

Which, if any, of the following would make an economic recovery feel real for you and your family?

 

All

Men

Women

Con

Lab

LD

UKIP

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Rising wages

49

50

48

42

57

51

48

Falling unemployment

36

39

32

35

38

42

39

Falling inflation

24

26

21

25

26

25

24

Rising interest rates

22

25

19

31

18

26

32

Stable inflation

22

24

19

27

22

23

27

GDP growth

21

29

13

30

19

29

28

Stable house prices

16

16

15

17

16

18

19

Stable interest rates

15

16

14

20

16

13

18

Rising house prices

10

13

  8

16

  8

14

13

Falling house prices

  6

  5

  7

  2

  8

  6

  4

Falling interest rates

  6

  5

  7

  4

  8

  5

  4

Rising inflation

  1

  2

  1

  2

  2

  1

  –

Don’t know

10  

  7

13

  5

  6

  8

  5

Almost half of respondents make rising wages the most popular indicator of whether any economic recovery will feel real for them. This goes against the view that people see the living standards crisis as a price issue, rather than a wages issue.

Populus then asked all respondents if they thought a national economic recovery “is underway” or whether they took the view that there was “no sign” of one.

Some 38% of those sampled agreed that a recovery was underway. This group were then asked whether they felt part of that recovery:

All

Men

Women

Con

Lab

LD

UKIP

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

I feel part of the current national economic recovery

29

30

27

33

26

30

17

I do not feel part of the current national economic recovery

44

43

46

34

57

50

56

Agree/disagree equally with both statements

27

27

28

32

17

20

27

[Don’t forget: this is only among the 38% who lean towards ‘there is a national economic recovery underway’]

 So only 29% of a group which is already just 38% of the population feet part of a recovery:

This is just 11% of the population.

3 Responses to What do the public think about the recovery?

  1. Allan
    Nov 21st 2013, 5:15 pm

    Sadly none of the questions included anything about the £3,000 per second that we borrowed last month. Yes, £3,000 every second of every minute of every day; and £30,000 since you started reading.

  2. Elainor Walsh
    Nov 22nd 2013, 6:56 pm

    I think the “upturn” release is propaganda timely released in order to get the public spending for Christmas, sadly I do not believe there is an upturn in the way it has been released. People are no longer being squeezed , there is nothing left to squeeze, we are now being wrung out.

  3. Living wages: how development doesn’t end at home | ToUChstone blog: A public policy blog from the TUC
    Nov 24th 2013, 10:42 pm

    […] Wage Week showed how important wages are in British politics: as my colleague Nigel Stanley has pointed out, a living standards election is really about pay, not prices. But wages are, of course, central to […]