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Paul Nowak

Paul Nowak

I was appointed as Assistant General Secretary of the TUC in February 2013. I lead on a number of key policy areas and have responsibility for the TUC’s regional councils, organising and inter-union relations. Prior to taking up this appointment, I headed the TUC’s Organisation & Services department, leading on issues including public services, and playing a key role in the TUC’s broader campaigning work.

I also write on the TUC’s Organising blog StrongerUnions.

  • Paul Nowak Paul Nowak

    Last week Alice blogged about the impact of the announcements in the autumn statement on public sector workers.

    Of course most of the headlines were grabbed by the Chancellor’s announcement that he would impose two years of 1% pay-caps on public sector workers at the end of the current two year pay freeze (three years if you work in local government). At a stroke this announcement managed to undermine the ongoing negotiations around public sector pensions (which in part are about significant contribution increases in the context of a pay freeze); confirm the government’s intention to cut the living standards of public sector workers by 16.5%; and signal his seeming contempt for collective bargaining and fair negotiations. Having days earlier called on public sector unions to ‘get back around the negotiating table’ over pensions, the Chancellor effectively pulled the table away from them when it came to public sector pay.

    Of course whether or not the government can hold to its 1% cap remains to be see. Previous governments of different political persuasions have struggled to maintain medium-term pay/incomes polices, particularly against the backdrop of turbulent economic conditions. Both Edward Heath and Jim Callaghan can testify to that.

    But perhaps just as important as the announcement of the 1% cap, was the Chancellor’s call for Public Sector Pay Review Bodies to look at how public sector pay can be made ‘more responsive to local labour markets’.

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  • Paul Nowak Paul Nowak

    Two articles in today’s newspapers show notions of ‘localism’ are being undermined by central government spending cuts.

    The FT leads on an Audit Commission report ‘Tough Times’, which reveals that  most councils have had to ‘reduce the quality and quantity of services’ they provide in the face of a real terms funding cut of £3.5billion over the last year. In addition to central government funding cuts, councils are faced with a £1.2bn funding squeeze driven by a loss of income and the government driven council tax freeze.

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  • Paul Nowak Paul Nowak

    Today, Ed Miliband used a speech at the Resolution  Foundation to set out how Labour can tackle,

    “The 21st century inequality, the fairness divide in our economy, [which] threatens to be about a division between the richest at the top who have been doing well, and the majority -lower and middle-income – who have been struggling to keep up: working harder for longer for less.”

    Both his underpinning analysis and suggested policy responses are hard to fault. Growing wage inequality which saw wages for those at the top grow twice as fast as those in the middle; wages which for many struggled to keep pace with the rising cost of living and generated a demand for cheap credit; the need to reverse historic under-investment in skills and technology; the value of an active industrial strategy; and the need for a fairer tax and benefit system.

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  • Paul Nowak Paul Nowak

    Good post here from UNISON Active regarding the government’s decision to abolish the so-called ‘Two-Tier Code’.

    The Code was designed to ensure that new starters working on outsourced government contracts had broadly comparable pay, terms and conditions to formerly directly employed staff TUPE’d across to private sector employers.

    All this seems pretty arcane, but the upshot is that – combined with the government’s efforts to increase the role of the private, voluntary and social enterprise sectors  in the delivery of public services, and the government’s swingeing cuts in public spending - the abolition of the Code and its replacement by a set of voluntary principles, could well lead to race to the bottom in pay, terms and conditions for public service workers.

    Women in particular are likely to be the big losers in all of this - something that unfortunately seems to be a consistent theme of the government’s approach to public services.

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  • Paul Nowak Paul Nowak

    In a skilful piece of political manoeuvring George Osborne has passed a large part of the CSR buck to local government.

    Underpinning the sugar-coated language about ‘localising power and funding’, the Chancellor announced a 26% cut in central government funding for local councils – with a cut in capital funding to councils of around 45%.

    On top of the headline figures, the CSR also flagged:

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  • Paul Nowak Paul Nowak

    A new report by PricewaterhouseCoopers predicts that the private sector is set to go “cold turkey” and lose nearly half a million jobs’, as a result of the government’s savage spending cuts. With the report also estimating that a similar number of jobs will be lost in the public sector, PwC acknowledge that the cuts will slow economic recovery  (albeit they fight shy of predicting a double-dip recession). You can read articles about the report here and here.

    A key finding of the report is that PwC believe that the private sector will struggle to generate enough employment to offset the jobs cull which will follow in the wake of the cuts – PwC estimate that over the next four years the private sector will generate 600,000 less jobs than estimated by the OBR in June. This view is borne out by John Philpott at the CIPD. Speaking to the Times today (hence no link!) he comments,

    “I would be surprised if you get what the OBR is looking at, which is essentially is strong private sector job gains.A strong automatic bounce-back is theoretically possible, but I can’t see it happening’.

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  • Paul Nowak Paul Nowak

    Yesterday the government announced a £1bn regional growth fund to offset the offset the impact of the swingeing spending cuts , but a quick glance at today’s papers suggests that the regional growth fund sticking plaster won’t do much to mitigate the impact of  the hatchet-like cuts inflicted by the Budget.

    Last night Adam blogged about the Guardian’s report that the Treasury has estimated that the budget will cost 1.3m jobs. As the TUC predicted in our budget submission, these job losses will not be restricted to the public sector – instead, up to 700,000 private sector jobs are  expected to be lost by 2015 as a result of the government’s programme of swingeing cuts.

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  • Paul Nowak Paul Nowak

    If you work in the public sector then the odds are that over the next day or so you’ll receive an e-mail from the Prime Minister asking you to identify ways of helping the government make the swingeing cuts announced in Tuesday’s budget.

    While a few public sector workers may happily engage in this process, I suspect the vast majority will be a little bit more sceptical of an initiative that smacks of spin rather than substance.

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  • Economics

    Regional differences in the Budget

    22nd June 2010 — Filed under: Economics

    Paul Nowak Paul Nowak

    The budget proved a mixed bag for the English regions. The TUC welcomes the government’s commitment  to fund key transport projects in Manchester, the North East and Birmingham as well as the upgrade of the rail link between Liverpool and Leeds. Likewise the announcement of a ‘Regional Growth Fund’ is welcome – though the extent to which this fund will counter-balance the significant reductions in business support seen through the short term cuts to RDA funding and key infrastructure spending in the regions remains to be seen. 

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  • Paul Nowak Paul Nowak

    George Osborne’s announcement that public sector workers will face a two-year pay freeze will be met with wide-spread consternation. To expect 4.3m hard working public servants to take a pay freeze at a time when, as IDS report, Britain’s directors have just pocketed an inflation busting increase of 7% , on top of a 22.5% hike in bonus payments, beggars belief.

    Let’s be clear – when you factor in inflation, this isn’t a pay freeze, its a pay cut.

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