RSS feed Tim Page's Archive

Tim Page

Tim Page

I’m a Senior Policy Officer at the TUC, responsible for economic and industrial policy. I also cover science policy, public procurement and high performance workplaces. I started my union at the Amalgamated Engineering Union, which is now part of Unite. I also did a spell at the House of Commons, working for the MPs Ann Clwyd and Ian McCartney. I was part of the team that put together the policy proposals which became the National Minimum Wage.

One of my major tasks at the TUC is editing our Budget Submission, which is sent to the Chancellor of the Exchequer each year. It sets out our analysis of the state of the economy and recommends policies which, we believe, will improve the economic and social fabric of Britain. Being the TUC Budget Submission, it is especially concerned with these issues from the perspective of people at work. When I’m not working, I enjoy sports, especially football (watching) and skiing (taking part). I’m also learning to speak Italian.

  • Economics

    Industrial Policy: So where are we?

    29th April 2013 — Filed under: Economics

    Tim Page Tim Page

    I enjoyed Duncan’s blog on economic fatalism last week. Interestingly, this came up again, twice, this morning at the Resolution Foundation’s event on ‘2015 – The Living Standards Election’.

    First, Stewart Wood of Ed Miliband’s office made similar points to those made by Duncan. Stewart argued that realism is good, but when it drifts into pessimism, it becomes more difficult. If it drifts further, into fatalism, it challenges the notion that politics can make any difference to people’s lives. Challenging fatalism will be a key election issue in 2015, he said.

    Later in the morning, Danny Finkelstein (who was excellent, by the way) didn’t quite go into fatalism, but he came close when talking about industrial policy.

    Continue Reading →

  • Tim Page Tim Page

    There was plenty of food for thought on offer at the Resolution Foundation this morning, as Peter Kellner, Penny Young, Stewart Wood and Danny Finkelstein debated whether the 2015 poll would be the ‘Living Standards Election’.

    Kellner’s latest research for YouGov showed, perhaps unsurprisingly, that Conservative voters tend to think that fiscal responsibility is the nation’s biggest economic priority, whereas Labour voters opt for growth. Kellner concluded that this gives the Tories a potential advantage, as some growth in the next two years, even if lower than is desirable, may feed into a belief that the Coalition has delivered both objectives.

    Continue Reading →

  • Tim Page Tim Page

    So Budget 2013 has been delivered. How should industry react? In my view, one cheer, perhaps one-and-a-half, would be the order of the day.

    In fact, the Government’s decision to stage certain Budget-related announcements in advance means there was not too much for industry in today’s statement that we didn’t already know. The two key announcements – the new Aerospace Technology Institute, announced by Deputy Prime Minister Nick Clegg, and the Government’s acceptance of most (but not quite all) of Michael Heseltine’s recommendations from his ‘No Stone Unturned’ report – both came on Monday.

    Continue Reading →

  • Economics

    Please, George, not a boring Budget!

    12th March 2013 — Filed under: Economics

    Tim Page Tim Page

    With just over a week to go until the most important Budget of this Parliament – and probably the most important day in the political life of the Coalition – there should be a healthy debate about the immediate future of UK macroeconomic policy. I spent this morning at a Parliamentary breakfast organised by the Federation of Small Businesses to discuss the Budget. Last week, I was at the EEF manufacturing conference. Recent TUC events have included a seminar with Michael Heseltine, while another with top US economist Robert Reich is planned for the near future.

    The UK could be on the brink of a triple dip recession and Coalition differences are barely constrained by collective Cabinet responsibility. Into this febrile atmosphere, step Janan Ganesh, FT contributor and biographer of the Chancellor, George Osborne. In today’s FT (£), Ganesh calls for a “boring” Budget. As I read on, intrigue turned to disappointment.

    Continue Reading →

  • Tim Page Tim Page

    What should we make of the Italian General Election? Friends of mine reading this post know that I have family in Italy and I spend most of my holiday time there, so I’ve been taking a close interest in the election campaign since the turn of the year. Lots of people are having their two-pennyworth this morning and I’ve been reflecting on what yesterday’s results mean for democracy.

    Continue Reading →

  • Economics

    Industrial Policy: A Lesson from Italy

    7th February 2013 — Filed under: Economics

    Tim Page Tim Page

    I was in Cambridge on Monday, to hear a fascinating presentation on industrial policy by Patrizio Bianchi. Bianchi is that rare combination of an academic (he is professor of economics at the University of Ferrara) and a politician (he serves as a Minister in the regional government of Emilia Romagna). When it comes to industrial policy, then, he practices what he preaches, almost literally.

     With his university colleague, Sandrine Labory, Bianchi has published a book entitled ‘Industrial Policy after the Crisis’. An earlier paper, ‘Industrial Policy after the Crisis: the Case of the Emilia Romagna Region in Italy’ preceded the book and can be downloaded here.

    Continue Reading →

  • Tim Page Tim Page

    What are we to make of the continuing success of Volkswagen, which is embarking on a three-year, 50bn euro plan for new products, plant and equipment? I am prompted to ask this question by an article, ‘ Crisis has speeded VW’s domination of Europe’ (£), from Tony Barber, the Financial Times’ Europe Editor,  in that newspaper today.

    Continue Reading →

  • Tim Page Tim Page

    I disagree with George Osborne on most things, but he was right when he said today that ‘No Stone Unturned’, Michael Heseltine’s review of industrial strategy and wealth creation, “has captured the imagination of all political parties”.

    The Chancellor announced that the Government will respond fully to the Heseltine Review in the spring (I’ll come back to that bit at the end of this blog). Today, Osborne focused on proposals for expanding Local Enterprise Partnerships (LEPs), which were a key recommendation of the Heseltine review.

    Continue Reading →

  • Tim Page Tim Page

    This morning saw the publication of ‘No Stone Unturned’, the long-awaited report of the Heseltine Review. The TUC has been happy to engage with Lord Heseltine and his team throughout the review process. We met him early, as did representatives of various business organisations and many others. We attended evidence gathering sessions and contributed our ideas. We gave our response to emerging themes. In the report itself, Lord Heseltine graciously recognises our role in kick-starting his initiative, stating that “[w]hen the CBI, the TUC and The Times newspaper are united in calling for an industrial strategy, the issue deserves serious consideration”.

    So what do I think of it? I think ‘No Stone Unturned’ is the most important economic policy statement to have emerged since the Coalition took office in the summer of 2010.

    Continue Reading →

  • Tim Page Tim Page

    In his speech to yesterday’s Policy Network conference, ‘The Quest for Growth’, Ed Miliband introduced the concept of ‘pre-distribution’. Recognising that a Labour Government in 2015 would seek to pursue social democratic outcomes without recourse to tax and spend, he argued that instead of redistributing resources, Labour should ensure that they are distributed properly in the first place.

    To quote Ed directly:

    “The redistribution of the last Labour government relied on revenue which the next Labour government will not enjoy. The option of simply increasing tax credits in the way we did before will not be open to us.

    “Of course, redistribution will always remain necessary. But we’ve learned that it is not sufficient…. We need to care about pre-distribution as well as redistribution.

    “Pre-distribution is about saying: We cannot allow ourselves to be stuck with permanently being a low-wage economy. It is neither just, nor does it enable us to pay our way in the world. Our aim must be to transform our economy so it is a much higher skill, higher wage economy. Think about somebody working in a call centre, a supermarket, or in an old peoples’ home. Redistribution offers a top-up to their wages. Pre-distribution seeks to offer them more: Higher skills. With higher wages. An economy that works for working people.”

    When pressed for an example of how this works, Ed gave the example of Labour councils that have used procurement policy to pay the Living Wage.

    This is important stuff and it deserves a trade union response.

    Continue Reading →